7
Field operations

The escalation list

Wards
8,813
8,809 declared
Filled
4,324
49%
Contested
2,050
Exposed
1,520
Vacant
919
no named leadership
Votes at risk
6.5m
2023 basis

Open with this desk

1 triggers
Votes sitting under broken ward structure

1.9m 2023 votes in wards classified exposed or vacant, concentrated in 5 states

Fill or replace ward leadership, heaviest ward first. Escalate vacancies past 14 days.

Kano, Kaduna, Plateau, Anambra, Delta

Field operations

Ward status, nationally

8,813 wards
49%
23%
17%
10%

Escalate first

Vacant wards ranked by the votes behind them
Kano
North West · 50 vacant, 101 exposed
531k
Kaduna
North West · 22 vacant, 55 exposed
411k
Plateau
North Central · 21 vacant, 43 exposed
336k
Anambra
South East · 81 vacant, 97 exposed
334k
Delta
South South · 59 vacant, 77 exposed
310k
Imo
South East · 86 vacant, 91 exposed
267k
Adamawa
North East · 34 vacant, 41 exposed
243k
Bauchi
North East · 25 vacant, 35 exposed
242k
Enugu
South East · 55 vacant, 78 exposed
233k
FCT
North Central · 14 vacant, 17 exposed
230k
Gombe
North East · 19 vacant, 28 exposed
210k
Edo
South South · 24 vacant, 41 exposed
196k

Ranked by 2023 votes behind broken structure, not by the count of wards involved. A headcount escalation list puts the small wards first every time.

Weakest by vote weight

Not by ward count
Ebonyi
23% by ward count · 171 wards
42%
Imo
23% by ward count · 305 wards
42%
Anambra
23% by ward count · 327 wards
44%
Abia
22% by ward count · 184 wards
45%
FCT
23% by ward count · 62 wards
46%
Enugu
28% by ward count · 261 wards
48%
Delta
31% by ward count · 270 wards
49%
Gombe
33% by ward count · 114 wards
55%
Edo
39% by ward count · 193 wards
61%
Adamawa
43% by ward count · 226 wards
62%

The note under each bar is what a ward-count report would have told you. Where the two diverge, the report is wrong in the flattering direction.

How a ward changes state

The model behind the colours
Filled
All four load-bearing roles filled and reporting. Counts fully toward weighted coverage.
Contested
Roles filled but disputed, or an unresolved parallel claim to the position. Counts at 60%.
Exposed
One or two roles filled, no functioning ward executive. Counts at 25%.
Vacant
No named leadership. Counts at zero and escalates past 14 days.

A ward carries a count of filled roles, never a roster of names. Eight thousand wards times four roles is thirty-five thousand people this platform has no lawful basis to hold — and in deployment, the count comes from the party’s own returns rather than from anything collected here.