Bola Ahmed TinubuAPC
Incumbent
Incumbency, federal structure and the reform record. Won 2023 on 36.61% — the lowest winning share in Nigerian history — against an opposition that split three ways.
Declared · INEC 2023 declaration
Candidates
The field, and the slate
Seats contested
1,491
across five races
Governorships
28
8 states off-cycle
25% threshold
29 / 37
24 required
Aggregate ceiling
₦337.8bn
if every seat spent the cap
Final list
—
INEC publication
Declared presidential field
Reported as published, not rankedADC coalition candidateADC
National
Atiku, Obi, El-Rufai, Amaechi and Aregbesola consolidated on the ADC platform and undertook to back the primary winner. Their 2023 votes together were 14,582,740 — 1.66x the winning total.
Reported, uncorroborated · Vanguard / Premium Times reporting, 2025-2026
The field as published. The ADC ticket was not settled at the time of writing and zoning remains the open question inside the coalition. Treat every entry as provisional until INEC publishes the final candidate list.
The slate
What the party is fielding, and what each may spendPresidential
Plurality nationally, plus 25% in at least 24 of 37 states and the FCT
1
seat
₦10bn
cap each
16 Jan
polling day
Senate
Plurality in each senatorial district
109
seats
₦500m
cap each
16 Jan
polling day
House of Representatives
Plurality in each federal constituency
360
seats
₦250m
cap each
16 Jan
polling day
Governorship
Plurality statewide, plus 25% in two-thirds of the state’s LGAs
28
seats
₦3bn
cap each
6 Feb
polling day
State Assembly
Plurality in each state constituency
993
seats
₦100m
cap each
6 Feb
polling day
Ceilings are Electoral Act 2026 section 92, which repealed the 2022 Act and roughly doubled every limit. There is no established mechanism to monitor or enforce them — which makes a campaign that publishes its own spend against the cap the first to do so.
Party standing by zone
2023 presidentialNorth West39.6% · 2/7 states · 27.8% of vote
North Central38.6% · 4/7 states · 19.0% of vote
South West53.6% · 4/6 states · 17.7% of vote
North East34.5% · 1/6 states · 14.3% of vote
South South28.0% · 1/6 states · 11.9% of vote
South East5.7% · 0/5 states · 9.3% of vote
What is not here
Stated rather than invented- Individual candidate profiles
- 1,490 seats across five races. In deployment each carries a profile, a constituency, a spend record and a standing figure — all database reads. Inventing 1,490 biographies for a demo would be worse than an honest gap.
- Constituency membership
- The platform holds seat counts — 109 senatorial districts, 360 federal constituencies, 993 state constituencies — but not which LGAs and wards compose each one. Until that is sourced, nothing here can target a seat, only a state.
- Spend against the ceiling
- The caps are modelled and displayed. The campaign’s own spend is not held, so nothing is published against them yet. This is the cheapest credibility win available and needs only a finance feed.
- The 2027 register
- Standing figures are the 2023 declaration. The 93,469,008 register is the 2023 one; INEC has not published a current per-state breakdown in a form we hold.